前程无忧 发表于 2023-10-31 08:52:40

要逆转了?本周楼市释放3个新信号,接下来合肥楼市趋势很明显了

https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-axegupay5k/19f4bbf37aa54a7f849f489655ce473c~tplv-tt-large.image?x-expires=2014076701&x-signature=iqfyowOvN4eWWHHdH2fNW2vLpyU%3D

不知不觉,楼市又出现了新的风向。
本周楼市发生了很多大事,房地产新一轮的齿轮,要开始转动了。
信号一:豪宅时代即将登场,未来土地限制有可能被打开,市场正在破局!
就在前天晚上,南京新挂9幅涉宅地块,分布江心洲、南部新城、迈皋桥、六合、溧水等多个片区。最值得注意的是,本批次地块均不再设最高限价。
其实早在今年10月中旬,就有消息称自然资源部已给各省市自然资源主管部门下发文件,内容包含:建议取消土地拍卖中的地价限制、建议取消远郊区容积率1.0限制等。

https://p26-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/9a42a1467de44b8d87253b84e78e86fd~tplv-tt-large.image?x-expires=2014076701&x-signature=2E3e%2BlZllyPXWE5wFRs3iQ%2BAphU%3D

目前,已有南京,济南、南京、合肥、宁波、苏州、成都、西安等城市已落地“取消地价上限”这一动作。这意味着:
1、核心地块竞争将会进一步激烈,地价将创新高。2、房产企业中,有实力的将拿到更多优质地块,分化或进一步加大,强者恒强。3、拿地成本提升了,可能也会传导到房价上,或改变甚至瓦解新房限价体系。
豪宅时代即将登场,价格或将不再管控,分化加剧,好位置的好房子,价格会快速上涨。
信号二:四季度将增发1万亿国债,大量货币将进场
整个国家的货币大放水已经开启!
前两天,中央财政宣布:
将在今年四季度增发2023年国债1万亿元,增发的国债全部通过转移支付方式安排给地方,集中力量支持灾后恢复重建和弥补防灾减灾救灾短板。
这1万亿国债,别看它外在的说法是什么防灾减灾,其实内核全是基建投资。
通过各种名目增加基建项目,再把货币灌入这些基建项目中,把水放出去。
回顾中国经济的“每一次救市过程”,都是“财政在前,货币在后”。而且每一次的放水,都会导致资产价格的上涨以及财富的分化,
信号三:中国将推动新一轮房改,价格或将不再管控
本周四,楼市传来重磅消息,新一轮“房改”来了,本轮改革核心是从过去的单轨制到双轨制,保障房解决基本居住问题,商品房回归商品和市场属性。

https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/c950bb9133784d33935db09f30f72753~tplv-tt-large.image?x-expires=2014076701&x-signature=Izt86kXNWbDDi7%2Flfi7Z2k5Zn84%3D

新一轮房改,会从根本改变中国大城市的住房格局。
普通人住保障房,只有居住属性,没有投资属性,居者有其屋。部分人住商品房,具有居住和投资双重属性,属于少数人的选择。
商品房价格会分化,好城市、好地段、好品质、好产业的房价格会越来越高。


结语


所以,合肥在这场变革中也深受影响,将影响未来楼市走向!接下来合肥楼市趋势很明显:
1、年底之前或是政策“最后的”温和期,明年年初起可能会迎来一波涨幅;
2、不违背“房住不炒”大原则,让大家安安心心的买卖消费;
3、不同片区、房源的房价分化更加剧;
刚需购房者在这个时机上要格外注意了,从现在供应和政策端上看未来改善型新房成交还会占据主导,会挤压刚需购房者的选择空间,珍惜目前还有选择、低总价的上车机会。

DavinFulk 发表于 2023-10-31 10:51:37

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