恋爱是假,骗你买房是真,楼市下行期,警惕「买房杀猪盘」!
https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-axegupay5k/ba67a6427d014d3584d0ac1ab1c58a2d~tplv-tt-large.image?_iz=30575&lk3s=06827d14&x-expires=1712922365&x-signature=DcAiUtsqXaueAyxNPsczcnppjVg%3D封面图 |《还是觉得你最好 2》剧照
01
问:
前几天,《1818黄金眼》爆出一条新闻,一个河南姑娘在湖州买了套房,却因此遭了大罪,原来她男朋友为了把房子卖出去,利用恋爱结婚骗她买房。近两年房子很难卖出去,为了高额返点或提成,这类「买房杀猪盘」骗局层出不穷。冯叔能否给大家一些忠告?
冯仑:
最近「买房杀猪盘」盛行,男方以恋爱结婚为幌子,让女方一起买房,告诉女方他交了定金,房本只写女方的名字,以后双方一起还房贷。结果女方发现这是骗局,男方描述的情况与实际情况并不一致。比如,150万的房子,男方假称付了30万或50万的首付,剩下100多万房贷都要女方去还。
总结下,这类「买房杀猪盘」共同点就是女方发现签订购房合同后,男方没有付首付,而是中介垫付的,女方却因此背上上百万的房贷,而这时候男方分手、抽身离开,还拿到了中介给的佣金。
「买房杀猪盘」对于女性伤害很大。从这起社会新闻曝出的情况看,站在女方角度,维护自己权益最好的方法就是刑事举报。这是一起典型的男方和中介合谋虚构事实、欺骗女方的案件,涉嫌刑事诈骗或合同诈骗,女方应该积极报警。如果警方立案侦查,起诉、惩罚这个犯罪行为,在这种情况下,女方对银行债务就可以豁免,至少减轻部分来自银行的经济压力。
遇到这种情况,女性应该尽快去刑事举报,这是最快、最有效,也是最应该做的维护自己权益的办法。
02
问:
3月22日,金辉控股官宣暴雷,这也意味着闽系上市房企全军覆没。相较于其他派系房企,闽系房企老板们更具胆识,加足杠杆重仓一二线城市,但当一个时代过去,三高的运营模式难以为继,「爱拼才会赢」也不一定能赢了。冯叔怎么看待闽系上市房企全军覆没的惨状?
冯仑:
房地产行业发展的20余年里,闽系、粤系等住宅开发商发展得非常快,这几年,城市发展模式发生了变化,相关产业也受到影响。最近一段时间地产公司,特别是民营住宅开发公司特别困难,原来高杠杆、高负债、高周转的模式突然踢到门板,暴雷的民营房企越来越多。
关于闽系民营大型住宅开发类的上市公司全军覆没,我觉得有两个指标性数据可以注意观察:
第一,整个闽系房企的情况说明了一个问题,全国7万多家住宅开发类的公司,未来大概只能剩下10%,这10%里头,70-80%将会是国央企。也就是说,未来住宅供应的市场主体将会是国央企。
第二,过去高杠杆、高负债、高周转的商业模式,机制灵活但风险偏好较大,该模式将会转型。
我觉得今后民营地产公司更多会朝两个方向转型:一是出海,到东南亚或其他地方重复自己过去曾经的模式;二是朝资产管理和运营方向转,民企在这个方向有非常大的优势。
除住宅以外,大量其他空间都在城投和开发区手中,这些空间的运营多少都出现了问题,国央企在空间运营能力上没有绝对优势,他们的优势体现在买地和开发上,而民企运营能力的优势体现在服务人员的工作态度、技能系统和客户维护等方面。
比如,贝壳找房在住宅租赁市场有绝对优势,这就是民企平台运营的能力。另外,我们公司也帮助不少地方政府和开发区手中的空置物业提升了运营效率,并管理了一部分他们的资产,明显大幅度改善了租金租赁情况,比传统国央企的周边物业运营得要好。
未来在住宅开发领域,民营房企可能会有挤出效应,存在大量退出。
我过去讲的,除住宅以外有七大类非住宅商用不动产,办公、商业、文旅、仓储物流、医疗健康、教育研发、公共物业,其中物流仓储及消费医疗等空间运营,目前就是民企占主导。所以,即使从住宅开发市场上退出,但在资产管理和运营上,民企仍有巨大的发展空间。
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